Indian Students’ recruitment for Australian Education Sector – Full insight with Future Prediction

Important Note: I assume that most of us are interested to Know about Fresh Student Visa statistics for the Australian Higher education sector and know the adverse effects of re-introduction of the UK Post Study Work visas and other factors on Australian Visa Sector. Therefore I have analysed the Indian nationals students’ (Primary applicants only) data in Table 1 to 3 and Charts 1 to 3 (These are the students who applied for Australia student visa offshore). This data is excluding the students with dependents. In Table 4, I have provided Full insights including all sectors for Primary applicant as well as dependents from 2019 till now. You can find the source of the data at the bottom of the blog. If you want me to share similar insights for other source countries or any other Destination country, please share the same in the comment section at the bottom of the blog. Based on the number of requests, I will work on the next blog. Don’t forget to subscribe to my blogs to receive future insights!

Let’s start with the Good news!

Student Visa grant rate has improved in the last few months and it has been a big relief in this sector. In Chart 1 and Table 1 given below, you can observe the Visa grant rate is at 55.9% in August 2019 which rises up to 81.8% in October 2019. Still, it’s too early to conclude anything. But looking at a decrease in the student visa Lodgement and Grant numbers for Australia compared to Grant rates in previous years & competition due to the UK PSW, we can assume positive visa grant rate in coming months.

If you liked this blog, please share it with your colleagues and friends of the industry through social networks and email.

Now Bad news!

Australian offshore Student Visa lodgement numbers of Indian nationals (Primary Applicants) are dropping. In Chart 2 and Table 2 given below, you can observe the Lodgement data from August to October for the year 2019, 2018 and 2017. The numbers for these months in 2019 have dropped when compared to the numbers for the same months in 2018. There are 2 major reasons for the same: the UK has re-introduced Post Study Work Visas and highly inconsistent student visa refusal of Australia bound students. You may have observed high fluctuation in Visa grant rate in the above Table 1 and chart 1.

Australian Visa Grant Data for Indian national students- offshore – Higher Education Sector – Primary Applicant

Australian offshore Student Visa Grant numbers of Indian nationals (Primary Applicant) are dropping. In the below Chart 3 and Table 3, you can observe the  Visa Grant data from June to October for the year 2019, 2018 and 2017. The numbers for these months in 2019 are dropping compared to the numbers for the same months in 2018. If the Same pattern continues for the full Academic year 2019 -2020, We can predict the Australian Visa Grant numbers between 25,000 to 30,000. However, the next 6 months are critical to gauge the possible adverse effect of the UK PSW and other factors.

Table 4: Year Wise number of Indian students coming to Australia – Fresh Student visa grant

The table given below provides full overview of fresh student visa of Indian students for each sector from 2009 till now.

Source of the data is https://data.gov.au/data/dataset/student-visas

Don’t forget to subscribe to receive future blogs and insights!

If you liked this blog, please share it with your colleagues and friends of the industry through social networks and email.

Number of students going to Australia from the different states in India and the number of students appearing for the different English Language Proficiency tests

I have developed this undying thirst of obtaining more and more insights into Indian students going to study abroad, especially those going to Australia. This time, my insatiable curiosity led me to investigate the number of students from each of the different Indian states (e.g. Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Punjab, Haryana etc…) going to Australia. I tried to gather more or less accurate and authentic data through many sources, including going through official DHA statistics, Austrade / DET Statistics, even enquiring with the Department of Home affairs during meetings and as a desperate measure, I have even googled for this information on many occasions. But all these forays for information were futile and I met with little success in my endeavours. Then, I struck gold! Finally, I managed to obtain this information from a very reliable and authentic source. I am sure that all our readers are eager to see the original document and the accurate data that I have obtained and I truly respect this eagerness. However, I am unable to share the source and/or the official document at this time, since it requires approval from the higher authorities at the originating source. I am awaiting permission before I can share the same in the public domain. I will immediately share it through my blogs, updating this one too, once I receive the permission. Meanwhile, I am sharing an estimated state-wise lodgement of primary student visa applications, based annually, on the information received, instead of the original document.

We all, already have a few perceptions about possible numbers from these states. However, having exact insights is never a loss and this kind of data may be helpful in several strategic decisions that we may have to take in the future. Please go through the Data / Insights below and do share your views as comments on this blog. Your comments will make this data and any interpretations thereof, more valuable not just to me, but to our entire community.

Some Interesting Observations:

  • Numbers from Telangana and Andhra Pradesh are growing. Their combined numbers are more than double that of Gujarat.
  • Punjab and Chandigarh still remain the regions that are sending the maximum number of students to Australia.
  • The figures from UP have yielded interesting numbers; more than those from Tamil Nadu.

Table 1: Estimated Primary Australian student visa applications lodged offshore Yearly where applicant’s country of citizenship is India, with the number of students from each of the states in India specified.

Note 1: Figures are from a dynamic source and may be subject to variations.
Note 2: Residential address information is not investigated or verified (i.e. cleansed) and is as recorded in the systems at the time of lodgement, or, if not available at the time of lodgement, then the most recent residential address information obtained after time of Lodgement is listed.

If you want to know projected figures i.e. about the approximate numbers of Australian student visas grant (Primary student) from these states, one can easily do the same by deducting 15% to 25%; For the lowest risk state, 15%, and the highest risk states 25%.

From the same reliable source, I also got insights into the number of students appearing for each of the English Language Proficiency tests; – IELTS, PTE, TOEFL etc…

Table 2: Estimated Primary Australian student visa applications lodged offshore Yearly where applicant’s country of citizenship is India, showing the number of students appearing for each of the English Language Proficiency tests; – IELTS, PTE, TOEFL, OET, CAE, etc……Note 1: Figures are from a dynamic source and are subject to variations.

 

The total Number of International students coming to Australia Each year: Overall facts and figures and the Major Source countries of this inflow.

 

The following Data is derived from ‘student visa’ program reports and pivot tables are provided by the Department of Home Affairs, Australia on the website data.gov.au

Number of International students coming to Australia each year from All countries combined (All offshore student visas)

Australia is attracting many international students; you can observe the steady growth from 125,000 / 150,000 students to more than 2,00,000 students. Wow! Congratulations to all the stakeholders of the Australian education industry!

The sector dealing in higher education is obviously the major beneficiary of this student growth. The independent Elicos Sector comes a 2nd with the highest number of students and the Vocational sector follows as the 3rd.

The Number of Indian students coming to Australia Each year:Yearly Data on Australian Students visa of indian student (As per Financial year: July to June)

India is the 2nd most important source country, only after China. An observation of the following detailed blog clearly delineates this fact:- https://www.competitivecareers.in/rupeshpatel/australia-report-card-2018-correct-number-of-indian-students-going-to-australia/

The number of Chinese students coming to Australia Each year:

China remains the number one source country so far and still persists as the major driver for overall students’ growth in Australia. One can appreciate the almost double growth from 20,000-25,000 students to more than 55,000 students in just a decade. It can thus safely be concluded that the sector for higher education is still the major beneficiary for the growth of students coming to Australia from China.

The number of Nepalese students coming to Australia Each year:

Nepal seems to be the most turbulent source market of students for Australia. We can observe numbers varying from below 1000 to more than 15000 as well. Nepal is the only country having the highest growth rate in the  Vocational sector. However, the Higher education sector still ranks at number 1.

The number of Srilankan students coming to Australia Each year:

Compared to China and India, Sri Lanka is like a drop in the ocean; It is a very small market. We can, however, observe a steady growth trend in the last 3  years which makes it a promising market.

The number of students from Bangladesh coming to Australia Each year:

Bangladesh, like Sri lanka, is also a very small market compared to China and India. In fact, it is even smaller than Sri Lanka and no major changes have been noted in the last decade, Numbers usually range between 1000 and 1500 students.

I have tried my best to give a concise overview of the facts and figures that I have collected from the authentic source (data.gov.au). I hope my insights into a subject that I am sure fascinates most people in our industry prove of invaluable help.  Signing off till the next blog, watch this spot. I promise you will not be disappointed.

Current Trends amongst Indian students going to Study Abroad

Current Trends amongst Indian students going to Study Abroad: the facts and figures (number) of Indian students going to the major, global, study destinations each year; over the last decade (2008-2018)

If you are curious about or want to know the accurate number of Indian students, actually going abroad to major study destinations (Canada, US, Australia, UK and NZ) in the last decade, then you have hit the right blog.


Table: Number of Indian students going to Top 5 Study destinations each year

 


Chart: Number of Indian students going to Top 5 Study destinations each year

Some pertinent observations based on the facts and figures:
  • It is clearly observed that there is a steady, and continuous increase in the number of students going to Canada.
  • According to CBIE (Page 6), “In 2017, 75% of the international students in Canada were pursuing post-secondary studies of which 57% were studying in a university program.” Furthermore, it was stated that “At the university level, India superseded France as the second most common country of origin and citizenship of these international students.” This means Canadian universities are recruiting significant numbers of Indian students. This page on Statistics Canada also confirms that almost 35% to 40% of Indian students in the post-secondary are going to Candian universities in 2016-17 and earlier. Unfortunately, There is no such data available for 2018.
  • For Canada, positive factors for Indian students would be: Post study work visas, Better chances of Permanent residency after study and post-study work visa compared to all other major study destinations, immigration-friendly government, Positive local environment for international students, Easy and quick process of student visas etc… This also reflects that for Indian students, Post-study work opportunities and Increasing possibility of Permanent residency are major factors in selecting study destination.
  • You can observe the gradual decline of student visas issued for the US in the year 2018. You can also observe a major slow down in 2016 and 2017.
  • For US, data in the above tables only show F1 visas, as numbers are very small under M1 visa Category for India. For example, Number of students visa under M1 category (Vocational education) for the year 2018 is 628.
  • You may be surprised with an increase in the number of students opting for the UK . Just imagine, the crowds if UK  were to start offering Post-study work visa too, in the near future.
  • The number of students going to New Zealand is still below 8000, for this year as well. This is against the common perception of an increase in New Zealand numbers after a revised Post-study work visa.

Please feel free to share your observations in the comment section of this blog. If you like this blog, Please share it with your friends/colleagues.

 

Data Sources:

Australia:  http://www.homeaffairs.gov.au/about/reports-publications/research-statistics/statistics/study-in-australia

Canada:  https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/90115b00-f9b8-49e8-afa3-b4cff8facaee?_ga=2.134164046.172220230.1519651562-885602142.1519651562

USA: https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/nonimmigrant-visa-statistics.html

UK:  https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/immigration-statistics-year-ending-december-2018/why-do-people-come-to-the-uk-3-to-study

NZ: https://www.immigration.govt.nz/documents/statistics/statistics-first-time-students

 

Australia Report card 2018-2019: Correct number of Indian students going to Australia

I am passionate about Digital Marketing, Compliance and knowing about the market insights through authentic analysis and strategies. I have always wanted to prevent personal perceptions to prejudice me or colour my views, thus relying more on concrete, available data from reliable sources.

On 29th of January 2019, our agency, Competitive Careers Pvt. Ltd organized an Australian and Canadian education fair, in which 23 Universities and 300+ students participated. Many University representatives are already aware of my habit of keeping a close watch on the market as well as insights into it and other resources to determine the exact number of Indian students going abroad. Many of them had requested me to send them a copy of my latest insights of the number of Indian students actually going to Australia, Canada and other major destinations, for education in the year 2018. Therefore, this is an attempt to fulfil this request. I have tried to present the most accurate information I could, regarding the number of Indian students going to Australia, not only in the year 2019 but also in some of the previous years. Hence, if you are interested in the same, you are at the right place. This blog is tailor-made for you.

The following data is derived from ‘student visa program’ reports and pivot tables provided by the Department of Home Affairs, Australia on the data.gov.au website (https://data.gov.au/dataset/ds-dga-324aa4f7-46bb-4d56-bc2d-772333a2317e/details)

Yearly Data on Australian Students visa of Indian students (As per Calendar year)

(Note: In the above figures, Dependents are NOT Included. )

Is the growth from the Year 2017 to 2018 clearly noticeable? ……..yes……….There is a whopping 52.88 % Growth. Looking at the growth in the last few years, we can safely assume that a positive trend is on the rise and is expected to continue for some time in the future. The figures also indicate that the number of students going to Australia for education may soon cross 40,000 per year. Even If the numbers cross the 38,000 figure, this will be the highest number of Indian students immigrating for education, in the history of the Australian education market.

Yearly Data on Australian Students visa of Indian students (As per Financial year: July to June)

If you want to know more details like Students visa for other sectors, Visa grant rate and the number of visas for dependents going along with the students, the below Table will be useful:

Note: The below statistics are represented according to the Australian Financial Year, which starts in July and ends in June. For example, data of the year 2016-17 means data for the period from 1st July 2016 to 30th June 2017.

Yearly Data on Australian Students visa of indian student (As per Financial year: July to June)

Following table presents the data on which Australian State /Territory attract more students:

Here NSW, Victoria, and Queensland are attracting a majority of Indian students. A big increase in the number of students going to Victoria and South Australia can be observed during the financial year 2017-18.

 

Note on Different Data Sources

Vast and varying amounts of data are available like statistics from Immigration departments, IIE Open Doors® data, UNESCO Institute of Statistics, Department of Education etc… All this statistical information is represented and interpreted in different ways. All these statistics are also valid data, but each tends to tell us a different aspect of the same story. So sometimes people of our industry and specifically, the media get confused and often, wrong and misleading statistics are quoted.

My favourite of all the different statistical data on this subject is the ‘Student visa grant’ data from the respective immigration departments. For example, To know the Number of Indian students going to Australia, DHA/DIBP statistics is the best source. This gives us an exact number of new Indian students going to Australia in 2019 and also previously. Other data sources like Open Doors® data, Department of Education etc. include mixed data. They might be useful to know the total number of Indian students in Australia OR any other purpose. The total number of students includes both, the new students as well as students still studying in Australia, who have gone in the past few years. For Industry stakeholders, I firmly believe that new students going to Australia each year tell us a better story of how attractive Australia is as a study destination as well as an inkling of the policy setting strategies of the various immigration departments.

 

I leave any further analysis of these data and the resulting interpretation up to you, the readers and would love to hear your comments as well as feedback. Share your own Analysis here. Also, if you find any error contained in my analysis, please feel free to share it with me as this kind of data accuracy is crucial for all of us.

Here’re the correct numbers of Indian students going to major study destinations

Not even a month ago I published a blog about the correct number of Indian students going to Australia, and I received many emails and calls concerning:

  • How many Indian students going to the U.S. nowadays?
  • What about Canada?
  • Has Australia become the ‘hot destination’ for higher studies amongst the Indian students?

Well, the point is: when I have said, “Yes, Canada and Australia have become the most popular countries for higher education,” I have still observed many times that the fact has been hard to believe not only by students but by many industry associates too. Having transfixed with that, I thought why not to give them the correct number of Indian students going to major study destinations?

So here’re the correct numbers of Indian students going to major study destinations – USA, Canada, UK, NZ, and Australia.

Table: Number of Indian students going to Top 5 Study destinations each year

Year2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Canada525086401498517300199502128524485319955301083750
US36149268902578325649234463614156653748316253744741
Australia37882296963933345948971099620538160241917422457
UK30173642234940634877172711360312600111601132814445
NZ536157847081583450705701126841332882277702
Total of 5 Destinations114815135233101188871197063487726126960147338154276173095

(http://www.competitivecareers.in/rupeshpatel)

Evident observation from the table and chart mentioned above:

  • As seen, in last four years, Canada has gained unmatched popularity as a study destination.
    • Post-study work visas,
    • Better chances of Permanent residency after study
    • Almost fixed criteria for a student visa in Black & White and
    • An hassle-free student visa process etc.

compared to all other major study destinations, might have been the win-win factors for students and Canada too. I would also be happy to give more reasons for this up surging trend via an email. For many industry stakeholders, the leap in numbers of Indian students going to Canada is surprising. But no worries, I would be answering the reasons behind the trend with my in-depth analysis in my next blog. So keep a watch over it.

  • In the last couple of years, the number of Indian students going to the U.S. (F1 visa) has declined phenomenally, 28% in 2017 and 16% in 2016. Out of many factors; Trump’s effect, Negative publicity, and Realisation of students about difficult transition to H1-B / Permanent residency from OPT; are considered essential. Overall, uncertainty about the future scope in the U.S. has feared a far higher number of Indian students than imagined.
  • For seven years, from 2008 to 2014, the trend of Indian students going to Australia has been bumpy. However, from 2014, Australia has also earned the reputation of a popular destination amongst Indian students for higher studies. To know more insights about the Australia market, Please read my blog: Want to know the correct number of Indian students going to Australia? Read this.
  • From 2013, UK is receiving quite a steady number of Indian students ranging between 10000 to 15000.
  • It was indeed surprising to notice that how New Zealand is going down in the list of Indian students for higher studies. Government policy changes and some unfavourable news publicity might have been the cause of it.

As seen, the most significant problem with our industry is huge ups and down. As an avid observer of such trends, I believe that even numbers can be backed by appropriate changes in student-oriented visa policy, migration policy, and post-study work rights.

—————————————————————————————————————-

Updated Data for 2018: Number of Indian students going to Top 5 Study destinations:

—————————————————————————————————————-

Updated: September 2018

Enjoy the data sources as well:

Australia:

http://www.homeaffairs.gov.au/about/reports-publications/research-statistics/statistics/study-in-australia

Canada:

Please refer http://www.cic.gc.ca/opendata-donneesouvertes/data/IRCC_M_TRStudy_0001_E.xls as mentioned here in first row of  https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/90115b00-f9b8-49e8-afa3-b4cff8facaee?_ga=2.134164046.172220230.1519651562-885602142.1519651562

Also refer a Sheet at http://www.cic.gc.ca/opendata-donneesouvertes/data/IRCC_AdhocSR_TR_0013_E.csv as mentioned on webpage https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/31ef4cab-d2b3-4dba-8e91-48fe64211ec5 have slight different data.

USA:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/nonimmigrant-visa-statistics.html  AND

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVDetailTables/FYs97-17_NIVDetailTable.xls (F1 Visas)

UK: 

Number of Study-related visas for  Indian Nationals (excluding Short-term students for course duration less than 1 year including English course, Prep course etc…) at https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/593020/entry-visas1-q4-2016-tables.ods AND

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/734164/entry-visas3-jun-2018-tables.ods

NZ:

https://www.immigration.govt.nz/documents/statistics/statistics-about-first-time-students

https://www.immigration.govt.nz/documents/statistics

https://www.immigration.govt.nz/assist-migrants-and-students/assist-students/international-markets/student-visa-decision-data

Want to know the correct number of Indian students going to Australia? Read this.

If you want to know the correct number of Indian students going to Australia from a decade, visa grant rate, which state or territories are high in demand amongst Indian students, and much more than that, then this blog is for you.

At least an hour a day, I read studies and benchmark reports. And I also enjoy meeting people as a part of my business. So pretty much anytime I am around people, I can usually share exciting statistics and facts like:

  • Number of students today taking the help of digital technology to make informed decisions and thus how we shall weave digital technology in our business operations to help students in making the most crucial decision of their life.
  • Number of businesses digitizing their operations and the impact of it.
  • Amount of data we produce every day and so increasing importance of big data analytics.

Likewise, it was just in the past month when I met the representatives of many Australian Universities in our Australian Education Fair. During the chat with some industry friends, I recognized a common concern: “What is the correct number of Indian students going to Australia?” Because a variety of sources have claimed different numbers so not only the representatives of Australian institutes but education agents too got have confused about which one could be correct and reliable. So I decided to present the accurate information regarding the number of Indian students going to Australia.

Following Data is derived from student visa program reports and pivot tables from website of Department of Home Affairs, Australian Government*.

Table 1: Yearly Data on Australian Students visa of Indian student (July to June)

Note: Year starts in July and end in June. So Data of year 2016-17 means Data for Period from 1st July 2016 to 30th June 2017.

Do you see how stable the Australian market is with student numbers rolling around 20,000 to 25,000 ? And that’s also like 10% to 15% sustainable growth. It says higher education is performing very well even with slightly higher growth rate.

Between 2007 to 2009, there is a sudden growth. But then from 2009 to 2013, there is a considerable decline. Well, specifically VET numbers have increased between 2007 to 2009 and caused the problem. Personally, I believe Australia has Vibrant Vocational sector and Promoting Vocational education sector is a good idea. However, identifying right students for VET and managing compliances onshore is a big challenge. Might be, Canadian SPP / SDS Model would be right to follow for VET sector. Such model controls/limits number of participating providers and fix the minimum criteria of students.

Following table presents the data on which Australian State /Territory attract more students:

Student Visas: All2013-142014-152015-162016-17July 17 to Dec 17 (6 Month)
VIC59245008593366613880
NSW43685110551071573126
QLD44842712304240261819
WA1217155521451520611
SA583616903941707
ACT834716202201177
NT26743350227954
TAS150353143176127
Not Available11514265941

Table 3: Australian State /Territory wise Data (Australian Students visa of Indian student)

NSW, Victoria, and Queensland are attracting a majority of Indian students. A consistent increase in the number of students going to South Australia can be observed, while to Western Australia its’ decreasing from two years. So you can decide which region to explore now.

I leave further analysis of these data up to you and would love to hear your interpretation too. Share your Analysis here. Also if you find any error here, please feel free to share with me as data accuracy is crucial for all of us.

*Data Source: homeaffairs.gov.au/about/reports-publications/research-statistics/statistics/study-in-australia

Updated: August 2018